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  1. #1
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    I definetly said MAJOR bank in Europe, so the small banks don't count as the impact is fairly small.
    I don't see any of these banks with "bankrupt" behind their name... Saved by government/private investors still means that the bank is saved, or you wrote it down incorrectly.
    all of the above banks, save the SachsenLB maybe are all major players in their target sectors.
    UBS and Credit Suisse are amongst the top10 of the worlds largest banks, societe generale is one of the largest french banks and a major players in investment banking. Dresdner Kleinwort and WestLB also are big investment banks. Northern rock was one of the 3 largest mortage banks in the UK, HBOS one of the Uks largest mortage and retail banks aswell. Hypo Real estate is europes largest mortage bank, BayernLB is a large governemnt financier and provider of corporate finance and IKB is one of the leading banks in corporate finance for small companies in germany. Even relatively small banks such as BayernLB and IKB going broke can cost millions of jobs in the end.
    Now you can add AIG, Lehman, Merryl Lynch and HBOS to the faield banks list. all of them major players and marekt leaders.

    And if they are saved by the government it means they have failed, as without government intervention they would have gone bancrupt.
    A bank should not be in the position that it needs saving.

    One of the three major Belgian Banks.
    They raised their capital in July by selling a bunch of shares at low prices, hence the first drop in value.
    Yesterday, the bank lost 11.5% of their value! Today is expected the same, last week was (oh no) the same.
    The value of the shares is lower than ever, but still: the bank is nowhere near bankrupt. They still make profit, how strange it may sound (it does, doesn't it?)...
    They lost € 500,000,000 b/c of Lehman, if AIG goes bankrupt as well, who know what will happen...
    Even if a bank makes profit it doesn't mean they are liquid enuogh to run their busienss. It is what a lot of people forget about, profit is not what matters but cash flow.
    Its why Morgan Stanley and Merril Lynch went running for the hills... They were profitable yes. But they did not have the money to keep operating in the short term.

    Oh by the way... A major German Bank, now called "Germanys most stupid bank" transfered over 300 million euro to lehman on the monday they filed for bancupcy. Since its even a governemnt bank... the one that owned IKB when it went bust, its a major scandal now..
    Paul D'Hoore, Belgium's best analyst in these matters, says that the banks have lost their confidence in each other and that that makes the crisis even worse.
    If thats your best analyst i nthat matters, you need to get new ones... as That has been the case like a year ago. Inter-bank lending rates have skyrocketed already long ago...



    Back on topic:
    A friend of mine just told me that the American Bank has supported AIG with ca.70 billion $ in exchange for an 80% majority of shares...
    This action had an immediate reaction in the rest of the world, the values of other bank/insurrance shares have stopped dropping too fast. Now they are even with yesterday, a little lower or even a little higher.
    Congratz USA, after causing the problems, you have solved them. That would be a first...
    That did not solve the problem, but made it worse.. and it really pisses me off.
    If i was any of your americans, i'd be sueing off AIGs arse right now.
    They deliberately wanted to be saved by the govenrment. Allianz wanted to take over major parts of AIG which would have saved it... Munich RE was also interested in alrge parts of AIG. But AIG rejected them and would rather be saved on the tax payers wallet. good job.

    It is impossible to go into bankruptcy when you don't borrow money. The article that Z cited said they were net roughly 150 billion dollars in debt. DUH! Of course there is going to be trouble. Debt = risk. They had a ton of debt and therefore a ton of risk. They made stupid choices and it came back to bite them. Sure- the economy has slowed a little, but if you haven't made stupid choices, it's still good enough to thrive.
    of course you can. the problem was not that Lehman had too much debt, but noone wanted to keep lending to them. Imo it was even part of a Barclays scheme.. They wanted to take over parts of Lehman and that would have saved them. But they said no and Lehman went bust. The same day they offered buying the same parts again at a much lower price... wtf.

    But back to bancrupcy... To tell a company to stop borrowing is jsut plain stupid. on average around 75% of any companies capital is borrowed money. If noone would borrow money to expand, we'd have pretty much no large company left, since noone.. especialy not the amreican ones, can finance their extensive expansion without debt.
    Finance 101. Stop borrowing money in a lot of cases means, stop growing. It called leveraging.

    Quote Originally Posted by MAGGIO View Post
    The really funny part is non of us, and I mean non of us are

    Finacial experts
    Politica experts
    Religeon experts

    and even the "experts" are only speculating.
    without beeign an expert i do think i am able to calaim a lot of knowledge. seeign that i've got liek 4 years of tradign and investemtn experience.. bought my first mutual fund and stocks when i was 11, 10 years ago..
    I have studied economics for over 2 years now and keep constant and thurough tabs on financial, economic and busienss news (4 magazines, 2 financial newspapers and about hal a dozen online newsletters aimed towards professional traders)
    i even once argued with a Goldman Sachs Eurity Research Associate on their Sell recommendation of adidas and said it was wrong during an internship interview... A week or two later they upgraded it.


    Quote Originally Posted by Tnova View Post
    Where does this money come from? The US people. So to help the US people you are going to take money from the US people? I know what you meant, but it was just funny to see. Yeah, the only way is to print money, and that is alot more dangerous and has longer term effects.

    Some institutions are too big to let fail, i understand that, however there are many more that just need to fail. If every business though there would be a bail out, then they wouldn't have to worry about repercussions from being reckless. The sooner they fail, the sooner we can get out of a recession and get back on track.

    Japan tried something similar back in the 90s, and it took them a very long time to get out of it.
    AIG should not have been saved by the government If it really is too big to fail, someone else will do it. In fact there were plans to do so. But AIG wanted to be saved by the governemnt.
    I saw a part of Bush's speech o nthat stuff the other day... To me it sounded like "I have no idea whats going on, but i'm doign stuff and spending tax payers moeny on it. My advisers don't have much of a clue either. We all don't know how the economy works".
    Last edited by KLL; 09-23-2008 at 07:19.

    Extra Bavariam nulla vita, et si vita, non est ita.
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  2. #2
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    talking about stupid things..

    did you guys notice that the european intercompany interest rate for 3 months (the rate banks loan each other money) was negative last friday..


    realise what this means: ONe bank which has money, is paying another bank to take a loan!!
    So you get money for taking out a loan!!

    this lasted for about 1/2 an hour!!

    banks are crazy!!
    **Serving the planet**

  3. #3
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    Quote Originally Posted by -Z- View Post
    Ali brought this to my attention today, he is studying Finance in school, I found this quite disturbing, but not surprising.

    the 1st of many I suspect:



    Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LEH) (pronounced IPA: /ˈliːmən/), founded in 1850, is a crisis hit[1] global financial-services firm. The firm does business in investment banking, equity and fixed-income sales, research and trading, investment management, private equity, and private banking. It is a primary dealer in the U.S. Treasury securities market.

    On September 15, 2008, it filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection[2] listing bank debt of $613 billion, $155 billion in bond debt and assets worth only $639 billion.[3] The filing is the largest bankruptcy in US history. [4] Until the bankruptcy procedures are completed, the company is still in existence.


    Lehman Brothers (LEH) shares tumbled 80% in U.S. pre-open trade. Macquarie Private Wealth associate director Marcus Droga stated: "You've probably seen more in one day of financial history than we've seen since the great crash of 1929. I'm not suggesting the US market will crash tonight, but in terms of landmark events, it's an historic day."


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------


    Stop wasting money in Iraq.

    Z
    Stop wasting money in Iraq? , what does that have to do with a private company screwing themselves over? Nothing.



  4. #4
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    Quote Originally Posted by -Z- View Post
    Ali brought this to my attention today, he is studying Finance in school, I found this quite disturbing, but not surprising.

    the 1st of many I suspect:



    Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LEH) (pronounced IPA: /ˈliːmən/), founded in 1850, is a crisis hit[1] global financial-services firm. The firm does business in investment banking, equity and fixed-income sales, research and trading, investment management, private equity, and private banking. It is a primary dealer in the U.S. Treasury securities market.

    On September 15, 2008, it filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection[2] listing bank debt of $613 billion, $155 billion in bond debt and assets worth only $639 billion.[3] The filing is the largest bankruptcy in US history. [4] Until the bankruptcy procedures are completed, the company is still in existence.


    Lehman Brothers (LEH) shares tumbled 80% in U.S. pre-open trade. Macquarie Private Wealth associate director Marcus Droga stated: "You've probably seen more in one day of financial history than we've seen since the great crash of 1929. I'm not suggesting the US market will crash tonight, but in terms of landmark events, it's an historic day."


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------


    Stop wasting money in Iraq.

    Z
    just tell me.. how does that relate to iraq??


    Whatever. Dogma, you want proof? Quite hard to give, as no major European bank has had the same problem (yet).
    HBOS (worth 14% of what it was a year ago), IKB (saved by governemnt, taken over by private investor), Northern Rock (taken over by governemnt), Dresdner Kleinwort (only survives due to strogn parent company, sold to competitor), WestLB (saved by governemnt, future still undetermined), BayernLB (saved by governemnt), SachsenLB (taken over), Hypo Real Estate (saved by private investor), UBS (saved by private investors), Credit Suisse (saved by private investors). Thats 10 right there. There is probably more with major problems such as SocGen and so on.
    Several smaler banks have gone bust already.
    Quote Originally Posted by Will View Post
    A repeat of the 1929 Stock Market crash would be the best thing to happen to the world this century, possibly this millenium.
    no not really


    now on the black monday and following day... i'm probably losing a lot of moeny right now because of this. yet i still find it all very exciting.
    i've been glued to a lvie ticker dedicated to this all day and to the news...
    BUt things aare lookig nup. Chances are that AIG wil lbe split up and sold (several german insurers are interested). Maybe even a full takeover. AIG is only woth 10 billion USD right now... Allianz can easily pay that sum for example. Lehman is likely to survive imo if Barcleys will but up some parts of it. Afterall, its fund manager is already worth several times mroe than their parent company.
    The winners of this crisi will be the retail banks which are buying up investment banks which normaly are very profitable for little money. But since all banks and financia lvalues.. in fact all stocks are low in value now, there is a lot of buying goign around. One bank after another is beeig ntaken over, be it retail or investment... Allaicne and Leicester, Dresdner, ML, HRE and so on...
    private investors are buying bigtime into the market, Buffet for example is on a buyign spree, some funds that do nto rely on loans so much, the Schaffler family is buying the worlds second largest automobile supplyer, the porshe family now totaly dominates volkswagen...
    Those are the smart guys.

    On another note.. it really pains me to see one company after antoher, that i am about to apply to going bust. It will be really tough to get an intnership i nthis market, with the amount of employers decreasign and the amount of cheap and very qualified labour in that area going around (5000 thousand lehman banekrs alone in London... other investmetn banks wouldn't eve nened to recuit graduates anymore...)

    Extra Bavariam nulla vita, et si vita, non est ita.
    (Outside Bavaria there's no life, and if there is, it ain't worth living.)

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    "When someone from Uri, Switzerland, moves to Austria, the average IQ of both countries rises." - Prof. Wigger, on interpreting mean values.

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  5. #5
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    Quote Originally Posted by KLL View Post
    HBOS (worth 14% of what it was a year ago), IKB (saved by governemnt, taken over by private investor), Northern Rock (taken over by governemnt), Dresdner Kleinwort (only survives due to strogn parent company, sold to competitor), WestLB (saved by governemnt, future still undetermined), BayernLB (saved by governemnt), SachsenLB (taken over), Hypo Real Estate (saved by private investor), UBS (saved by private investors), Credit Suisse (saved by private investors). Thats 10 right there. There is probably more with major problems such as SocGen and so on.
    Several smaler banks have gone bust already.
    no not really

    I definetly said MAJOR bank in Europe, so the small banks don't count as the impact is fairly small.
    I don't see any of these banks with "bankrupt" behind their name... Saved by government/private investors still means that the bank is saved, or you wrote it down incorrectly.


    One of the three major Belgian Banks.
    They raised their capital in July by selling a bunch of shares at low prices, hence the first drop in value.
    Yesterday, the bank lost 11.5% of their value! Today is expected the same, last week was (oh no) the same.
    The value of the shares is lower than ever, but still: the bank is nowhere near bankrupt. They still make profit, how strange it may sound (it does, doesn't it?)...
    They lost € 500,000,000 b/c of Lehman, if AIG goes bankrupt as well, who know what will happen...

    All banks are affected by what happens in the USofA, and if the crisis there continues, we will start having the same problems here soon enough. But not yet!

    Paul D'Hoore, Belgium's best analyst in these matters, says that the banks have lost their confidence in each other and that that makes the crisis even worse.

    P.S.: the last Belgian bank gone bankrupt was in 1930, the Bank of the Workers (Bank van de Arbeid)
    P.P.S.: Paul D'Hoore has succeeded in making 176% profit in one year (2005-2006) by speculating.
    Turns out real life ends when you hit the log in button.

  6. #6
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    Default Washington Mutual

    Washington Mutual (or WaMu; NYSE: WM) was the United States' largest savings and loan association.



    On September 25, 2008, The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation announced that it is seizing WaMu and will sell most of its assets to JPMorgan Chase.


    This is (again) the Biggest bank failure in the history of the WORLD.


    Stop wasting money in Iraq!

    (and do not be so retarded as to question what Iraq has to do with US finance this time, please)


    Z




    [WLF] = the greatest nation ever to exisit, in any game, in any universe, of all time, period.


  7. #7
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    You could put this in the other thread.

  8. #8
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    Yes, could we designate a portion of the forums to Z and his bashing of America?

  9. #9
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    Who would mod it? Z himself?

    Z: US sucks!

    US poster: no it doesn't!

    Z: you're perm banned!


  10. #10
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    Default Morpheus Lost...

    The American Dream is dieing...

    In hopes of its revival, I have been consistently attempting to reveal truths and remove blindfolds from members of this community and from members of my own real life community.

    Why does is concern me? Well the American dream is a large part of why I am alive today, and why i enjoy the type of lifestyle I do.

    If American freedoms, equalities and opportunities were not kept alive and in strong for so many decades, Canada would not have had the type of multicultural, and balanced society that it has today.

    I have had a great deal more success in my real life in my attempts to enlighten my friends about the reasons behind this turn of events, and I am trying to figure out what I am missing here on these forums...

    One factor I have considered is that this is a war game, and that perhaps a majority of the community is involved in war, or war business in some way and hence their perspectives are skewed...

    Some are unable to realize that American Fascism is a reality:


    Fascism is a totalitarian nationalist political ideology and mass movement that is concerned with notions of cultural decline or decadence, and which seeks to achieve a millenarian national rebirth by exalting the nation or race, as well as promoting cults of unity, strength and purity.[1][2][3][4][5]

    Various scholars attribute different characteristics to fascism, but the following elements are usually seen as its integral parts: nationalism, militarism, totalitarianism, dictatorship, class collaboration, populism, collectivism, statism, social interventionism, and economic planning. Fascism opposes communism, democracy, liberalism, and conservatism (taking into account that fascists made alliances with conservatives more often than other groups).

    Z




    [WLF] = the greatest nation ever to exisit, in any game, in any universe, of all time, period.


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